The U.S. Supreme Court ruled on Thursday that the Trump administration must facilitate the release of Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a man in the United States illegally but who was mistakenly deported to a prison in El Salvador.
The US administration claims these tariffs on imports will reduce the US trade deficit and address what it views as unfair and non-reciprocal trade practices. Trump said this would
forever be remembered as the day American industry was reborn, the day America’s destiny was reclaimed.
The “reciprocal” tariffs are designed to impose charges on other countries equivalent to half the costs they supposedly inflict on US exporters through tariffs, currency manipulation and non-tariff barriers levied on US goods.
Each nation received a tariff number that will apply to most goods. Notable sectors exempt include steel, aluminium and motor vehicles, which are already subject to new tariffs.
The minimum baseline tariff for each country is 10%. But many countries received higher numbers, including Vietnam (46%), Thailand (36%), China (34%), Indonesia (32%), Taiwan (32%) and Switzerland (31%).
The tariff number for China is in addition to an existing 20% tariff, so the total tariff applied to Chinese imports is 54%. Countries assigned 10% tariffs include Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom.
Canada and Mexico are exempt from the reciprocal tariffs, for now, but goods from those nations are subject to a 25% tariff under a separate executive order.
Although some countries do charge higher tariffs on US goods than the US imposes on their exports, and the “Liberation Day” tariffs are allegedly only half the full reciprocal rate, the calculations behind them are open to challenge.
For example, non-tariff measures are notoriously difficult to estimate and “subject to much uncertainty”, according to one recent study
.
GDP impacts with retaliation
Other countries are now likely to respond with retaliatory tariffs on US imports. Canada
(the largest destination for US exports), the EU
and China
have all said they will respond in kind.
To estimate the impacts of this tit-for-tat trade standoff, I use a global model of the production, trade and consumption of goods and services. Similar simulation tools – known as “computable general equilibrium models” – are widely used by governments, academics and consultancies to evaluate policy changes.
The first model simulates a scenario in which the US imposes reciprocal and other new tariffs, and other countries respond with equivalent tariffs on US goods. Estimated changes in GDP due to US reciprocal tariffs and retaliatory tariffs by other nations are shown in the table below.
The tariffs decrease US GDP by US$438.4 billion (1.45%). Divided among the nation’s 126 million households, GDP per household decreases by $3,487 per year. That is larger than the corresponding decreases in any other country. (All figures are in US dollars.)
Proportional GDP decreases are largest in Mexico (2.24%) and Canada (1.65%) as these nations ship more than 75% of their exports to the US. Mexican households are worse off by $1,192 per year and Canadian households by $2,467.
Other nations that experience relatively large decreases in GDP include Vietnam (0.99%) and Switzerland (0.32%).
Some nations gain from the trade war. Typically, these face relatively low US tariffs (and consequently also impose relatively low tariffs on US goods). New Zealand (0.29%) and Brazil (0.28%) experience the largest increases in GDP. New Zealand households are better off by $397 per year.
Aggregate GDP for the rest of the world (all nations except the US) decreases by $62 billion.
At the global level, GDP decreases by $500 billion (0.43%). This result confirms the well-known rule that trade wars shrink the global economy.
GDP impacts without retaliation
In the second scenario, the modelling depicts what happens if other nations do not react to the US tariffs. The changes in the GDP of selected countries are presented in the table below.
Countries that face relatively high US tariffs and ship a large proportion of their exports to the US experience the largest proportional decreases in GDP. These include Canada, Mexico, Vietnam, Thailand, Taiwan, Switzerland, South Korea and China.
Countries that face relatively low new tariffs gain, with the UK experiencing the largest GDP increase.
The tariffs decrease US GDP by $149 billion (0.49%) because the tariffs increase production costs and consumer prices in the US.
Aggregate GDP for the rest of the world decreases by $155 billion, more than twice the corresponding decrease when there was retaliation. This indicates that the rest of the world can reduce losses by retaliating. At the same time, retaliation leads to a worse outcome for the US.
Previous tariff announcements by the Trump administration dropped sand into the cogs of international trade. The reciprocal tariffs throw a spanner into the works. Ultimately, the US may face the largest damages.
Acting U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey Alina Habba said she is opening an investigation into the state’s governor and attorney general.
Habba
, a former personal lawyer and spokesperson for President Donald Trump, appeared on Thursday’s edition of Hannity on Fox News. She slammed Governor Phil Murphy and Attorney General Matt Platkin over their opposition to the administration’s immigration enforcement actions.
Sean Hannity prefaced his interview by relaying a report
stating that Murphy and Platkin ordered state police officers not to carry out warrants in a federal database. State police have also been told not to cooperate with federal officials to enforce civil immigration actions unless the police have been ordered to do so by a court.
Habba joined the show and decried the list of “dos and don’ts for his local state law enforcement” that is on the governor’s website and said:
And unfortunately, I will announce on your show tonight, Sean, and I want it to be a warning for everybody that I have instructed my office today to open an investigation into Governor Murphy, to open an investigation into Attorney General Platkin, who was also instructed the state police not to assist any of our federal… agencies under that are under my direction…
That will no longer stand. [U.S. Attorney General] Pam Bondi has made it clear and so has our president that we are to take all criminals, violent criminals and criminals [sic] out of this country and to completely enforce federal law. And anybody who does get in that way in the way of what we are doing, which is not political, it is simply against crime, will be charged in the state of New Jersey for obstruction, for concealment. And I will come after hard.
Hannity responded by citing the Supremacy Clause and suggested that this provision would perhaps require state and local police to act at the behest of the federal government.
“That’s correct,” his guest replied before bizarrely suggesting that New Jersey police are under her purview. “And let me tell you, to my state officers in New Jersey – some of whom I met with today – I appreciate and respect what you can and cannot do. They don’t have Title VIII authority. I understand that. But what they have been instructed to do by the AG and the governor as is on their website, is to not even make the phone call to I.C.E. when they run the record and see there is a valid warrant and administrative warrant ordering deportation. That is putting the people in my state in jeopardy.”
Habba concluded, “And if you did commit a crime, if you ordered obstruction, if you are ordering concealment and harboring, you will be charged.”
“I was still playing — and I understand what my dad felt like coming to watch me play — but now, with social media, it was a little different. Everybody is like, ‘Oh, Ken’s here,’” Griffey Jr. told Mornings @ the Masters.
“My daughter literally stopped dribbling a basketball and just looked at me when she was 5, and I was like, ‘OK, I’ve got to pay more attention to what’s going on.’ And I figured nobody’s messing with the photographer. Well, let me pick it up.”
Griffey’s athletic abilities extend beyond the baseball diamond, and he frequently plays golf. The 13-time MLB All-Star
said he’s played at Masters events in the past.
Griffey finished his prolific big league baseball career with 630 regular-season home runs. While he is best known for his two stints with the Mariners, Griffey Jr. also played for the Cincinnati Reds
from 2000-08.
For more than four centuries, Shakespeare’s famous “To be, or not to be” has been the existential question.
Four years ago, while taking a shower, President Donald Trump was also contemplating the nature of life, the human condition, his navel, and the hardships of shampooing his big, beautiful hair under a shower that comes out, drip, drip, drip.
For Trump, the existential question was whether ’tis nobler to suffer the humiliation of shampooing one’s beautiful hair in a drip-drip shower, or to take up arms against a sea of tyrannical regulations.
He bravely chose the latter, declaring battle against “the left’s war on water pressure.” He has been fighting not only against the very unfair deep state showerhead bureaucracy, but also against even more unfair toilet flushing mandates, and against all manner of ridiculous regulations that have been preventing Americans from washing their hands properly, cleaning the dishes thoroughly, washing their clothes adequately.
In his second presidential term Americans are finally seeing the concrete results of this crucial battle for the right of every American to waste use our precious water to their hearts’ content.
Yesterday, Trump issued the 1,250,000th Executive Order of his short but momentous presidency — probably the most consequential order for the future of our country.
By the authority vested in him by the Constitution and laws of the United States, under an order titled “Maintaining Acceptable Water Pressure in Showerhead,
” Trump repealed “a previous 13,000-Word Regulation Defining “Showerhead,” replacing it “[t]o the extent any definition is necessary” with the Oxford English Dictionary definition of “showerhead…in one short sentence.”
Trump added for effect, “Notice and comment is unnecessary because I am ordering the repeal…”
According to the White House
, the order restores “sanity to at least one small part of the federal regulations,” and ends “the Obama-Biden war on water pressure and make America’s showers great again” by allowing showers to put out 2.5 gallons-per-minute, raising the output from the present EPA standard of 2 gallons-per-minute.
But “It’s not just showers,” the Trump administration says, it is also about “everyday appliances like gas stoves, water heaters, washing machines, furnaces, dishwashers, and more…appliances [that] worked perfectly fine before Biden’s meddling piled on convoluted regulations that made those appliances worse.”
Trump says, “We’re going to get rid of those restrictions. You have many places where they have water, they have so much water they don’t know what to do with it. But people buy a house, they turn on the sink, and water barely comes out. They take a shower, water barely comes out. And it’s an unnecessary restriction.”
As Trump signed the executive order, he reiterated his years-long grievance.
“I like to take a nice shower, take care of my beautiful hair…have to stand in the shower for 15 minutes until it gets wet. Comes out drip, drip, drip. It’s ridiculous.” He added, “What you do is you end up washing your hands five times longer, so it’s the same water…And we’re going to open it up so that people can live,” he added.
Indeed, Americans will now be able to take proper showers again, give their toilets one big, beautiful flush, wash their hands only once. In other words, they will be able to live again.
Ah, the joys of re-defining the word “showerhead.”
White House trade adviser Peter Navarro denied a report stating
that he had been sidelined by President Donald Trump, who has sent markets into free fall by tariffs on most countries.
“Former hedge fund manager and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent — the White House’s main conduit to beleaguered financial markets — is now at the helm, with populist Peter Navarro relegated to the sidelines and Wall Street punching bag Howard Lutnick recast into the role of “bad cop,” according to three people close to the White House, granted anonymity to speak frankly about internal dynamics,” Politico reported
on Thursday morning.
Hours later on Fox News’s Jesse Watters Primetime, the host questioned Navarro about it.
“The media says you’re in the doghouse with Trump,” Jesse Watters noted. “Is that true? Or is that fake news?”
Navarro laughed nervously and declared, “That’s fake news, Jesse. I would say this about this team that I’m working with. I mean, it’s radically different from the first term when we had a lot of people fighting and had disparate voices, and every time the boss wanted to do something, there were people wanting to hold him back.”
Navarro went on to praise Bessent, Lutnick, and a slew of other administration officials.
“I think you just named the cabinet,” Watters replied.
“I can’t be more honored to be there even if some people think I’m in the doghouse,” Navarro responded. “That’s officially fake news.”
Navarro has been one of several Trump administration officials on television over the last week trying to sell the president’s tariffs to the public. Though Navarro stated over the weekend that the tariff figures Trump imposed last week were not negotiable, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassettcontradicted
that claim on the same day.
Trump’s initial tariff announcement last week sent markets plummeting. Originally, he imposed a 10% blanket tariff on imports from most countries. However, he singled out dozens for higher tariffs. On Wednesday, he backtracked
by rolling back those higher rates down to the baseline 10% number. Meanwhile, Trump raised tariffs on Chinese goods to a whopping 145%.
A judge has dismissed kidnapping and conspiracy charges filed against five Massachusetts college students
accused of luring a man to their campus in a “Catch a Predator”-style scheme using a dating app.
A Worcester District Court judge dismissed the charges against Kelsey Brainard, Isabella Trudeau, Joaquin Smith, Kevin Carroll and Easton Randall on Tuesday. The decision came after lawyers for the teenage Assumption University students claimed prosecutors lacked probable cause and filed motions to dismiss last month.
Information regarding the status of a sixth student, charged as a juvenile, was not immediately available.
“We are grateful that the court, after a fair hearing and due consideration, applied the law properly,” Brainard’s lawyer, Christopher Todd, said in an email
to the Associated Press. “No decisions have been made about our path to resolution of the remaining count.”
The Worcester District Attorney’s Office declined Fox News Digital’s request for comment, citing pending cases in the matter.
Prosecutors alleged the group used Brainard’s Tinder account to pose as a 17-year-old woman, luring a 22-year-old active-duty military service member to the university in October.
Minutes after the man arrived in a campus basement lounge, “a group of people came out of nowhere and started calling him a pedophile,” according to a report filed by campus police. The man told authorities the students accused him of wanting sex with 17-year-olds as at least 25 people chased him to his car.
The man said he was then punched in the head and slammed in his car door before he was able to drive away.
Todd argued in his motion to dismiss that surveillance footage showing the group chasing the man does not show evidence
that anyone tried to keep him from leaving, adding that Brainard remained inside the lounge during the incident and there was no evidence the group was planning to hold the man against his will.
Following the attack, Randall told officers the group was inspired by the “catch a predator” trend on TikTok
and recruited students through their dormitory chat by claiming a “predator” was coming to the school, according to the police report
.
The Tinder conversation between the group and the victim shows the woman telling him she is 17, about to be 18, with the man telling her “that’s fine, you’re in college,” according to Todd. Brainard contacted authorities after the attack, alleging the man was a sexual predator, which police found to be false.
The Assumption University Police Department “fulfilled its duty as an accredited law enforcement agency by filing charges describing the facts of the incident and the elements of a crime under Massachusetts law,” a university spokesperson said. “The district attorney accepted and prosecuted those charges. All of the charges in the case, including those that remain in place, are within the purview of the judicial system to resolve.”
The department did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.
Carroll is still charged with assault and battery with a dangerous weapon, and Brainard is facing a witness intimidation charge.
Attorneys for Carroll and Brainard did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.